Research

Economic Climate Model on the Palm Production: Empirical Evidence for Malaysia and Indonesia

Economic Climate Model on the Palm Production: Empirical Evidence for Malaysia and Indonesia

Description

Rising temperatures and shifting precipitation patterns affect the growth and yields of oil palm trees, leading to reduced productivity and increased costs for producers.
Rising temperatures and shifting precipitation patterns affect the growth and yields of oil palm trees, leading to reduced productivity and increased costs for producers. Climate change is expected to make the land less suitable for oil palm cultivation in many regions, including Malaysia and Indonesia, the world’s largest palm producers. This study uses the Autocorrelation and Normality Test and Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration technique to examine how climate change impacted Fresh Fruit Bunch (FFB) yield-producing Malaysia and Indonesia from 1981 to 2021. The ARDL technique reveals that the influence of climate change on FFB is more significant in the short term compared to the long term for both countries. In Malaysia, all variables are statistically significant except for Minimum Temperature, which is shown to be statistically insignificant yet positively correlated. The highest temperature in Indonesia is an important characteristic that positively correlates with FFB.

Author
1. Noor Shahira Samsuddin
2. Nor Farradila Abdul Aziz
3. Bala Balachandran
4. Jahangir Ali
Journal
Malaysian Journal of Consumer and Family Economics
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