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The Impact of Soybean Futures and Crude Oil Futures on Palm Oil Indexes: Evidence from Bounds Test of Level Relationship and Causality Analysis

The Impact of Soybean Futures and Crude Oil Futures on Palm Oil Indexes: Evidence from Bounds Test of Level Relationship and Causality Analysis

Description

This paper investigates the impact of soybean and crude oil futures on palm oil indexes by utilising monthly data from three palm oil indexes listed in Bursa Malaysia.
This paper investigates the impact of soybean and crude oil futures on palm oil indexes by utilising monthly data from three palm oil indexes listed in Bursa Malaysia, i.e., the Asian palm index, Malaysian palm index, and Plantation index, spanning from January 2010 to June 2020. The impacts were analysed using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds test approach and causality test. The statistical findings revealed that the Asian palm index has a long-run relationship with crude oil futures and crude palm oil, and a short-run relationship with soybean futures, crude oil futures, and crude palm oil. On the other hand, the Malaysian palm index has a short-run relationship with soybean futures and crude palm oil, whereas the Plantation index has a short-run relationship with crude oil futures, crude palm oil, and exchange rate. For the long-run strategy, this study recommends close monitoring of crude oil futures. Meanwhile, the short-run strategy requires close monitoring of the crude oil and soybean futures. Eventually, the empirical findings proposed that interested parties such as fund managers, investors, and traders should pay attention to crude oil and soybean futures to mitigate risk and diversify their portfolios with greater emphasis on crude oil futures.

Author
1. Izaan Jamil (University Malaysia Sabah)
2 . Mori Kogid (Universiti Malaysia Sabah)
3. Thien Sang Lim (Universiti Malaysia Sabah)
4. Jaratin Lily (Universiti Malaysia Sabah)
Journal
Economies
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